Saturday, September 24, 2011

NFL: 2 Locks for Week 3

Hey there all. I've decided to join the rest of the world and make a few picks for week 3, but before I do that, I would like to wholeheartedly invite you all to watch the video above and laugh your ass off. Was this not the best play of week 2? I know there's a long way to go this season, and I know there are a lot of highly creative touchdown celebrators in the NFL, but seriously -- who the hell can possibly top this? Eat your heart out T.O and Ochocino.

Okay, on to the picks. I'll give two locks vs. the spread, and just so you know, this weeks picks come completely free of charge. So get in while you can, before the buzz grows and this thing blows up and I have to start charging y'all.

1. Bills (-8.5) vs. Patriots.

I think it's pretty unlikely that the Bills win for the first time in 16 games vs. the pats, and I did have to laugh when watching Tom Brady try to convince a room full of journalists that it's "always tough to play in Buffalo." I mean, yeah, any NFL game is tough -- you can get blindsided by a 270 lb. linebacker and what not -- but to call going to Buffalo a tough assignment smacks of political posturing. The Pats are always great at faking respect for their opponents and then subsequently kicking their asses, but this week is going to be different.

Why? Because the Patriots defense is horrible. It just is. And while they usually are intelligent enough -- or well coached enough -- to make big plays and come up positive in the turnover ratio (they are already +4 this year), I suspect that they'll have a tough time breaking away from Buffalo on Sunday. And even if they do, I suspect that Ryan Fitzpatrick and the high-powered Buffalo attack will find a way to get within a score by the final whistle.

Pick: Take the Bills and the points.

2. Redskins (-6.5) vs. Cowboys.

Lots of if's for the Big D, with Romo either destined to play at 50% or Kitna destined to fill in and do what he normally does -- move the ball and end each drive with a heartbreaking pick. Without Miles Austin and Dez Bryant, and with Felix Jones banged up, it promises to be a long Sunday for the Dallas O.

The 'Skins, meanwhile, are surprisingly good this year. Grossman is a competent and confident QB at the moment, and the team seems to be playing inspired football now that disgruntled defensive lineman Albert Haynesworth and controversial QB Donavan McNabb are gone.

Pick: Take the Redskins and the points.