Thursday, December 11, 2014

Statisfaction: Nashville's Dominant Even Strength Numbers, Stephen Weiss's Resurgence

Each week. we'll break down three statistical trends in the NHL. Here's three for Dec. 11:

1. Nashville is dominant at even strength:

The Preds are by far the best even strength team in the NHL, as their ratio of scoring 1.6 goals to every one for their opponent at even strength is head and shoulders above the rest of the NHL's top five in that category:

And they're just as good in close games (games where the lead or deficit is two or less) at even strength, scoring 64.8 percent of the goals in those sutuations, good for No. 1 in the NHL:

But the Preds have the NHL's second-worst PP at 10.7 percent, and they are in the bottom half on the penalty kill at 80.3 percent. Do they lack the personnel to up those numbers or is this a team that can become truly dominant if they get their special teams firing?

2. Colorado is atrocious when leading this season:

Only one NHL team has a sub-.500 winning percentage when leading after two periods, and that would be Patrick Roy's Avs. How is their .429 winning percentage when leading after two even possible? The next lowest (Edmonton and Dallas, .667) are horrible in their own right, but they are miles from where Colorado currently is. It's a relatively small sample size (they are 3-2-2 when leading after two), but it's pretty telling about where Colorado is headed this season. The Avs are also 2-4 when leading after one this season.

On the other side of the coin, Chicago (9-0), Toronto (11-0) and Calgary (8-0) are the only three teams that have yet to drop a game when leading after two.

3. Detroit's Stephen Weiss is on fire:

It took Stephen Weiss 26 games to amass four points in 2013-14 for Detroit, but this year the 31-year-old is off to a torrid start. He's notched ten points in ten games and leads the NHL in points per 60 minutes of ice time by a mile at 4.91 points per 60 minutes:

Here are the top five in the NHL:

1. Stephen Weiss/ 10g/ 97:40 TOI/ 4.91 Points Per 60
2. Matt Cooke/ 8g/ 67:50 TOI/ 4.42 Points Per 60
3. Rick Nash/ 26g/ 319:17 TOI/ 3.76 Points Per 60
4. Tyler Johnson/ 29g/ 363:29 TOI/ 3.63 Points Per 60
5. Vladimir Tarasenko/ 28g/ 399:05 TOI/ 3.31 Points Per 60

Weiss has played under 100 minutes, so doubtful that he'll be the league leader at season's end, but clearly has a different player for Detroit than he was last year.